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เริ่มนับตั้งแต่ 1/1/2002

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ÃÐËÇèÒ§ÇÑ¹·Õè 8 - 15 ÁÕ¹Ò¤Á ¾.È. 2553

1. ÊÀÒ¾ÍÒ¡ÒÈ

1.1 ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔ

ÀÒ¤àË¹×Í ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔµèÓÊØ´ 16-23 Í§ÈÒ ÊÙ§ÊØ´ 36-40 Í§ÈÒ
ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§àË¹×Í ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔµèÓÊØ´ 20-23 Í§ÈÒ ÊÙ§ÊØ´ 36-40 Í§ÈÒ
ÀÒ¤¡ÅÒ§ ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔµèÓÊØ´ 22-26 Í§ÈÒ ÊÙ§ÊØ´ 37-40 Í§ÈÒ

ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔµèÓÊØ´ 24-28 Í§ÈÒ ÊÙ§ÊØ´ 35-39 Í§ÈÒ

ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔµèÓÊØ´ 23-25 Í§ÈÒ ÊÙ§ÊØ´ 33-36 Í§ÈÒ
ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹µ¡ ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔµèÓÊØ´ 23-24 Í§ÈÒ ÊÙ§ÊØ´ 35-36 Í§ÈÒ

1.2 ¤ÇÒÁª×é¹ÊÑÁ¾Ñ·¸ì

ÀÒ¤	¤ÇÒÁª×é¹ÊÑÁ¾Ñ·¸ì (%)
ÀÒ¤àË¹×Í	60-70
ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§àË¹×Í	60-70
ÀÒ¤¡ÅÒ§	65-75
ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡	70-80
ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡	70-80
ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹µ¡	70-80

1.3 ¤ÇÒÁª×é¹¢Í§àª×éÍà¾ÅÔ§

ËÂèÍÁ¤ÇÒÁ¡´ÍÒ¡ÒÈµèÓ¨Ò¡¤ÇÒÁÃéÍ¹¨Ð»¡¤ÅØÁºÃÔàÇ³»ÃÐà·Èä·ÂµÍ¹º¹ ·ÓãËéÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔÊÙ§¢Öé¹áÅÐÁÕÍÒ¡ÒÈÃéÍ¹¡Ñº¿éÒËÅÑÇã¹µÍ¹¡ÅÒ§ÇÑ¹ áÅÐã¹ªèÇ§ÇÑ¹·Õè 8-12 ÁÕ.¤. ºÃÔàÇ³¤ÇÒÁ¡´ÍÒ¡ÒÈÊÙ§¡ÓÅÑ§¤èÍ¹¢éÒ§áÃ§¨Ò¡»ÃÐà·È¨Õ¹¨Ðá¼èÅ§ÁÒ»¡¤ÅØÁ»ÃÐà·Èä·ÂµÍ¹º¹ ·ÓãËéà¡Ô´¾ÒÂØÄ´ÙÃéÍ¹ä´é â´ÂÁÕ½¹¿éÒ¤Ð¹Í§ ÅÁ¡ÃÐâª¡áÃ§áÅÐÍÒ¨ÁÕÅÙ¡àËçºµ¡ â´ÂàÃÔèÁã¹ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§àË¹×Í¡èÍ¹ áÅÐÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔÅ´Å§«Öè§¨ÐºÃÃà·ÒÍÒ¡ÒÈÃéÍ¹ä´éã¹ÃÐÂÐ¹Õé¢éÍ¤ÇÃÃÐÇÑ§ ã¹ªèÇ§ÇÑ¹·Õè 8-12 ÁÕ.¤. ¢ÍãËé»ÃÐªÒª¹ºÃÔàÇ³ÀÒ¤àË¹×Í ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§àË¹×Í ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ áÅÐÀÒ¤¡ÅÒ§ ÃÇÁ·Ñé§¡ÃØ§à·¾ÁËÒ¹¤Ã ÃÐÁÑ´ÃÐÇÑ§ÍÑ¹µÃÒÂ¨Ò¡¾ÒÂØ½¹¿éÒ¤Ð¹Í§ ÅÁ¡ÃÐâª¡áÃ§áÅÐÅÙ¡àËçºµ¡·Õè¨Ðà¡Ô´¢Öé¹ «Öè§·ÓãËéµé¹äÁéËÑ¡â¤è¹ »éÒÂâ¦É³ÒËÃ×ÍºéÒ¹àÃ×Í¹ä´éÃÑº¤ÇÒÁàÊÕÂËÒÂã¹ÃÐÂÐ¹Õé

1.4 »ÃÔÁÒ³¹éÓ½¹

ÀÒ¤àË¹×Í -
ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§àË¹×Í ÁÕ¾ÒÂØ½¹¿éÒ¤Ð¹Í§à»ç¹áËè§æ ÃéÍÂÅÐ 20 ¢Í§¾×é¹·Õè ÊèÇ¹ÁÒ¡·Ò§µÍ¹º¹áÅÐ´éÒ¹µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡¢Í§ÀÒ¤

ÀÒ¤¡ÅÒ§ -
ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ -

ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ ÁÕ½¹¿éÒ¤Ð¹Í§ºÒ§áËè§ ÃéÍÂÅÐ 10 ¢Í§¾×é¹·Õè
ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹µ¡ ÁÕ½¹¿éÒ¤Ð¹Í§à»ç¹áËè§ æ ÃéÍÂÅÐ 10 ¢Í§¾×é¹·Õè

1.5 ¤ÇÒÁàÃçÇÅÁ

ÀÒ¤àË¹×Í ÅÁÍèÍ¹ ¤ÇÒÁàÃçÇ 6-12 ¡Á./ªÁ.
ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§àË¹×Í ÅÁµÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§ãµé ¤ÇÒÁàÃçÇ 10-30 ¡Á./ªÁ.

ÀÒ¤¡ÅÒ§ ÅÁãµé ¤ÇÒÁàÃçÇ 10-30 ¡Á./ªÁ.

ÀÒ¤µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ ÅÁµÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§ãµé ¤ÇÒÁàÃçÇ 15-30 ¡Á./ªÁ.
ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ ÅÁµÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡à©ÕÂ§ãµé ¤ÇÒÁàÃçÇ 15-30 ¡Á./ªÁ.

ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹µ¡ ÅÁµÐÇÑ¹ÍÍ¡ ¤ÇÒÁàÃçÇ 15-30 ¡Á./ªÁ.

2. ´Ñª¹Õ¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒ (Fire Weather Index ; FWI)

¨Ò¡¡ÒÃµÃÇ¨µÔ´µÒÁ´Ñª¹Õ¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒ(Fire Weather Index) http://nofc.cfs.nrcan.gc.ca/seasia/en/index_e.html ã¹ÇÑ¹·Õè 7 ÁÕ¹Ò¤Á 2553 ¾ºÇèÒ ·Ø¡ÀÒ¤¢Í§»ÃÐà·ÈÁÕ¤ÇÒÁàÊÕèÂ§ã¹¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒÍÂÙèã¹ÃÐ´Ñº ÊÙ§ÁÒ¡ (Extreme)

¤ÅÔê¡·ÕèÃÙ»à¾×èÍ´ÙÀÒ¾¢¹Ò´ãËè

·ÕèÁÒ:: http://nofc.cfs.
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´Ñª¹Õ¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒ	¤ÇÒÁËÁÒÂ
µèÓ (Low)	âÍ¡ÒÊà¡Ô´ä¿ÂÒ¡ÁÒ¡ ËÒ¡à¡Ô´ä¿ ä¿¨Ðá·ºäÁèÁÕâÍ¡ÒÊÅØ¡ÅÒÁá¼è¢ÂÒÂ¨Ò¡¨Ø´àÃÔèÁµé¹ ËÃ×Í¶éÒÁÕ¡ÒÃÅØ¡ÅÒÁá¼è¢ÂÒÂÍÍ¡ä» ¡ç¨ÐÊÒÁÒÃ¶¤Çº¤ØÁä´éâ´Â§èÒÂÁÒ¡
»Ò¹¡ÅÒ§ (Moderate)	âÍ¡ÒÊ·Õèà¡Ô´ä¿§èÒÂ¢Öé¹ áÅÐä¿¨ÐÅØ¡ÅÒÁÍÍ¡ä»ä´éÁÒ¡¡ÇèÒä¿ã¹ “Class low” áµè¨Ðà»ç¹ä¿ÅÑ¡É³Ð¢Í§ä¿·Õè¤×º¤ÅÒ¹ä»µÒÁ¼ÔÇ´Ô¹à·èÒ¹Ñé¹ ¡ÒÃ¤Çº¤ØÁä¿·Óä´éâ´Âãªé¾¹Ñ¡§Ò¹´Ñºä¿»èÒ áÅÐà¤Ã×èÍ§Á×Í¾×é¹°Ò¹ à¢éÒ·Ó¡ÒÃ´Ñºä¿»èÒ·Ò§µÃ§ ËÃ×Í´Ñºä¿·Ò§ÍéÍÁ â´Â¡ÒÃ·Óá¹Ç¡Ñ¹ä¿
ÊÙ§ (High)	âÍ¡ÒÊà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒÁÕÁÒ¡ áÅÐä¿¨ÐÅØ¡ÅÒÁÍÍ¡ä»ä´éÁÒ¡¡ÇèÒä¿ã¹ “Class Moderate” â´Âà»ÅÇä¿ÁÕ¤ÇÒÁÃØ¹áÃ§»Ò¹¡ÅÒ§–ÊÙ§·ÓãËé¡ÒÃ¤Çº¤ØÁä¿»èÒ·Óä´éÂÒ¡ ¡ÒÃ´Ñºä¿»èÒ·Ò§ÍéÍÁâ´Â¡ÒÃ·Óá¹Ç¡Ñ¹ä¿ÍÒ¨¨ÐäÁèà¾ÕÂ§¾Í ¨Óà»ç¹µéÍ§ãªéà¤Ã×èÍ§Á×ÍË¹Ñ¡ àªè¹ à¤Ã×èÍ§ÊÙº¹éÓ´Ñºà¾ÅÔ§, Ã¶á·Ã¡àµÍÃì, àÎÅÔ¤Í»àµÍÃì ËÃ×Íà¤Ã×èÍ§ºÔ¹·Ôé§¹éÓ´Ñºä¿»èÒ à¾×èÍªèÇÂ¡ÒÃ´Ñºä¿·ÕèºÃÔàÇ³ËÑÇä¿
ÊÙ§ÁÒ¡ (Extreme)	à¡Ô´ÀÒÇÐ¤ÇÒÁáËé§áÅé§ÃØ¹áÃ§ âÍ¡ÒÊã¹¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒÊÙ§ÁÒ¡áÅÐà»ç¹ä¿·ÕèÁÕ¤ÇÒÁÃØ¹áÃ§ÊÙ§ÁÒ¡ ¡ÒÃ´Ñºä¿·Ò§µÃ§¨ÐµéÍ§ãªé¤ÇÒÁÃÐÁÑ´ÃÐÇÑ§ÊÙ§ÊØ´ âÍ¡ÒÊ·Õè¨Ð¤Çº¤ØÁä¿ä´éÁÕ¹éÍÂ

3. ¡ÒÃµÔ´µÒÁµÃÇ¨ÊÍºÊ¶Ò¹¡ÒÃ³ìä¿»èÒ¨Ò¡´ÒÇà·ÕÂÁ

¡ÒÃµÃÇ¨µÔ´µÒÁÊ¶Ò¹¡ÒÃ³ìä¿»èÒ´éÇÂ´ÒÇà·ÕÂÁ Aqua â´ÂÃÐºº MODIS ¨Ò¡·Ò§àÇçºä«´ì http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/?subset=Indochina2 ã¹ÇÑ¹·Õè 7 ÁÕ¹Ò¤Á ¾º¨Ø´ hotspot

4. ¾×é¹·Õè¨Ñ§ËÇÑ´·ÕèàÊÕèÂ§ÀÑÂµèÍ¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒ

ÀÒ¤àË¹×Í : ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔÊÙ§ÊØ´»ÃÐÁÒ³ 40 Í§ÈÒà«Åà«ÕÂÊ ¤ÇÒÁª×é¹ÊÑÁ¾Ñ·¸ì 60-70% ´Ñª¹Õ¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒ (Fire Weather Index; FWI) ÍÂÙèã¹ÃÐ´Ñº ÊÙ§ÁÒ¡ (Extreme) áÅÐ¢ÍãËéÃÐÁÑ´ÃÐÇÑ§ã¹¡ÒÃãªéä¿ ã¹ºÃÔàÇ³¾×é¹·Õèã¡Åéà¤ÕÂ§¡Ñº»èÒ â´Âà©¾ÒÐ·éÍ§·Õè ¨.àªÕÂ§ãËÁè ¨.àªÕÂ§ÃÒÂ ¨.ÅÓ¾Ù¹ ¨.ÅÓ»Ò§ ¨.µÒ¡ ¨.á¾Ãè ¨.ÊØâ¢·ÑÂ ¨.¾Ô¨ÔµÃ ¨.à¾ªÃºÙÃ³ì áÅÐ ¨.¾ÔÉ³ØâÅ¡

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ÀÒ¤ãµé½Ñè§µÐÇÑ¹µ¡ : ÍØ³ËÀÙÁÔÊÙ§ÊØ´»ÃÐÁÒ³ 36 Í§ÈÒà«Åà«ÕÂÊ ¤ÇÒÁª×é¹ÊÑÁ¾Ñ·¸ì 70-80% ´Ñª¹Õ¡ÒÃà¡Ô´ä¿»èÒ (Fire Weather Index; FWI) ÍÂÙèã¹ÃÐ´Ñº ÊÙ§ÁÒ¡ (Extreme) áÅÐ¢ÍãËéÃÐÁÑ´ÃÐÇÑ§ã¹¡ÒÃãªéä¿ ã¹ºÃÔàÇ³¾×é¹·Õèã¡Åéà¤ÕÂ§¡Ñº»èÒ â´Âà©¾ÒÐ ·éÍ§·Õè ¨.¾Ñ§§Ò ¨.¡ÃÐºÕè ¨.µÃÑ§ áÅÐ ¨.ÊµÙÅ

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http://www.tmd.motc.go.th/

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http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/?subset=Indochina2
http://www.affrc.go.jp/ANDES/
http://nofc.cfs.nrcan.gc.ca/seasia/en/index_e.html
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
http://www.wunderground.com/global/TH.html

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